Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#212
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#192
Pace67.1#236
Improvement-2.7#282

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#161
First Shot+0.7#153
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#164
Layup/Dunks-0.2#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#327
Freethrows+4.3#1
Improvement-1.8#274

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#279
First Shot-2.0#253
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#304
Layups/Dunks-1.8#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#134
Freethrows-2.2#306
Improvement-0.9#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 22 - 42 - 4
Quad 33 - 95 - 13
Quad 49 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 93   @ Mississippi L 43-71 15%     0 - 1 -19.5 -23.5 +3.6
  Nov 14, 2019 252   VMI W 71-56 71%     1 - 1 +6.7 -0.7 +8.7
  Nov 15, 2019 221   UC Davis W 80-67 65%     2 - 1 +6.4 -1.3 +7.4
  Nov 17, 2019 324   Idaho W 82-68 84%     3 - 1 +0.5 +10.7 -9.0
  Nov 20, 2019 101   @ Colorado St. W 80-78 16%     4 - 1 +10.0 +12.3 -2.2
  Nov 30, 2019 113   Stephen F. Austin L 57-76 36%     4 - 2 -18.0 -20.3 +4.3
  Dec 03, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha W 78-73 66%     5 - 2 -1.9 -1.7 -0.3
  Dec 07, 2019 75   @ Tulsa W 66-63 12%     6 - 2 +12.9 +15.2 -1.7
  Dec 11, 2019 119   @ Missouri St. L 53-75 20%     6 - 3 -15.6 -10.9 -7.0
  Dec 18, 2019 219   Louisiana W 79-67 64%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +5.6 -0.1 +5.4
  Dec 21, 2019 247   @ Louisiana Monroe W 62-59 48%     8 - 3 2 - 0 +1.0 -3.6 +4.9
  Jan 02, 2020 137   Texas Arlington L 52-73 43%     8 - 4 2 - 1 -21.9 -16.8 -6.3
  Jan 04, 2020 102   Texas St. L 67-70 33%     8 - 5 2 - 2 -1.2 -6.2 +5.0
  Jan 06, 2020 131   Georgia St. W 90-87 42%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +2.4 +16.2 -13.7
  Jan 09, 2020 157   @ South Alabama L 59-75 27%     9 - 6 3 - 3 -12.3 -4.4 -10.4
  Jan 11, 2020 292   Troy W 76-68 OT 77%     10 - 6 4 - 3 -2.5 -9.1 +5.8
  Jan 16, 2020 182   @ Appalachian St. L 80-83 OT 32%     10 - 7 4 - 4 -0.8 +6.7 -7.4
  Jan 18, 2020 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 80-75 34%     11 - 7 5 - 4 +6.7 +3.6 +2.9
  Jan 23, 2020 157   South Alabama W 75-71 49%     12 - 7 6 - 4 +1.6 +5.9 -4.0
  Jan 25, 2020 292   @ Troy W 78-62 57%     13 - 7 7 - 4 +11.5 +8.5 +4.0
  Jan 30, 2020 182   Appalachian St. L 64-71 54%     13 - 8 7 - 5 -10.8 -1.1 -10.6
  Feb 01, 2020 189   Coastal Carolina L 77-83 57%     13 - 9 7 - 6 -10.3 -2.8 -7.2
  Feb 08, 2020 134   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 87-90 22%     13 - 10 7 - 7 +2.4 +15.8 -13.5
  Feb 13, 2020 137   @ Texas Arlington L 67-77 23%     13 - 11 7 - 8 -4.9 -3.4 -1.2
  Feb 15, 2020 102   @ Texas St. L 64-69 16%     13 - 12 7 - 9 +2.8 -3.1 +5.8
  Feb 19, 2020 247   Louisiana Monroe L 52-66 70%     13 - 13 7 - 10 -22.1 -18.5 -4.9
  Feb 22, 2020 134   Arkansas Little Rock L 78-81 42%     13 - 14 7 - 11 -3.7 +2.3 -6.0
  Feb 26, 2020 219   @ Louisiana L 74-77 41%     13 - 15 7 - 12 -3.4 -2.6 -0.6
  Mar 03, 2020 132   @ Georgia Southern W 76-75 22%     14 - 15 8 - 12 +6.4 +6.6 -0.2
  Mar 07, 2020 219   @ Louisiana L 66-73 41%     14 - 16 -7.4 -13.7 +7.0
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%